1、 Price trend

According to the bulk data monitoring of business society, as of October 15, the average price of refrigerant R22 was 26666.67 yuan / ton, up 2.56% from the beginning of the week, 3.9% from the beginning of the month and 83.91% from the same period last year

According to the bulk data monitoring of business society, as of October 15, the average price of refrigerant R134a was 50666.67 yuan / ton, up 26.14% compared with the beginning of the week, 37.56% compared with the beginning of the month, and 226.83% compared with the same period last year.

2、 Market analysis

After the national day, the price of refrigerant R22 rose steadily, rising by 2.56% this week and 3.9% in the first half of October, maintaining a high operating state. The mainstream price of raw material hydrofluoric acid rose to 11200-11700 yuan / ton. The quotation of some manufacturers was higher than the market price. At the same time, the market situation of methane chloride also stopped falling and rising. The raw material price was high. Moreover, the commencement of major mainstream manufacturers was still not high, the market supply was tight, and R22 was easy to rise but difficult to fall. By the end of the weekend, the market price of R22 was in the range of 25000-28000 yuan / ton, the price in Shandong was about 27000 yuan / ton, the price in Zhejiang was about 25000-27500 yuan / ton, the price in Hunan was about 27000-28000 yuan / ton, and the price in Jiangsu was about 26000-28000 yuan / ton.

According to the weekly increase and decrease from July 19 to October 10, 2021, R22 has opened the upward channel since August and continues to this day. The increase in September is huge, and the increase has slowed down in October. The increase this week is 2.56%, and the price remains strong.

After the National Day holiday, the price of R134a soared in September, up 26.14% this week and 37.56% in the first half of October. The price quickly rose to more than 50000 yuan, a new high in recent three years. The price of goods holders increased by more than 10000 yuan. Some enterprises closed their offers and stopped reporting. It was difficult to find low prices in the market, and the focus of trading shifted significantly upward. The mainstream price of raw material hydrofluoric acid rose to 11200-11700 yuan / ton, and the quotation of some manufacturers was higher than the market price, while the price of trichloroethylene rose to 20000 yuan. The goods were tight and the price was high, and the cost was under pressure. Although the power restriction policy slowed down, the operation of refrigerant manufacturers was still low, the tight market supply was not significantly improved, the downstream demand was just in demand, and there was a strong wait-and-see mentality. Up to now, the market price of R134a is in the range of 50000-52000 yuan / ton, the price in Zhejiang is about 50000-51000 yuan / ton, the price in Hunan is about 50000-51000 yuan / ton, and the price in Jiangsu is about 50000-51000 yuan / ton. Prices in various places have increased rapidly.

According to the weekly increase and decrease from July 19 to October 10, 2021, the price of R134a has continued to rise since August. Since September, the price jump has been huge. The weekly increase on September 13 was 22.93%, while the increase this week reached 26.14%. The price has rapidly increased to more than 50000 yuan, which is amazing.

The price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid rose this week. Up to now, the mainstream price negotiated by various regions of domestic hydrofluoric acid has risen to 11200-11700 yuan / ton. The quotation of some manufacturers is higher than the market price, and the actual transaction price on the floor has increased. The price of domestic hydrofluoric acid is still rising. Recently, the domestic spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is normal, and the price trend on the floor has risen.

3、 Future forecast

According to the refrigerant analysts of business society, the price of raw materials has continued to rise recently, the cost is under pressure, the operating load of refrigerant manufacturers is still low, and the market supply gap is still in. It is expected that under the situation of stable demand, the cost side will be boosted unilaterally, and the prices of refrigerants R22 and R134a will still be raised.