Negative blow: the price of silicone DMC fell by more than 21% in December

According to the monitoring data of business agency, as of December 22, the average price of organosilicon DMC market quotation in mainstream areas was 24330 yuan / ton. Compared with the price on December 1 (reference price 30800 yuan / ton), the average price was reduced by 6470 yuan / ton, a decrease of 21.1%.

 

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It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of the business community that in early December, the domestic silicone DMC market was weak and operated. After the big factories in Shandong continuously reduced the silicone DMC quotation at the end of November, the silicone DMC yard maintained a weak sorting operation at the beginning of this month. On the 3rd, some high-end quotation monomer factories in the early stage reduced the DMC ex factory price by about 200-300 yuan / ton, The mainstream ex factory price of organosilicon DMC is 30100-31000 yuan / ton, and the average price is 30600 yuan / ton. After a few days of temporary stable operation of the market, the cost support for organosilicon DMC continues to loosen due to the reduction of the price of raw metal silicon. In addition, the downstream demand performance is still insufficient, and the transaction of new orders is limited. Under the pressure of both cost and demand, it will start on the 7th, The domestic organosilicon DMC market has opened a road of sharp decline. Shandong big factory took the lead in reducing the ex factory price of organosilicon DMC by 2500 yuan / ton. The ex factory price of organosilicon DMC of this factory fell to 27400 yuan / ton. Then, the air atmosphere was filled in the field, and major monomer factories followed suit to reduce the ex factory price of organic silicon DMC. On the 9th, the price of organosilicon DMC experienced a steep decline, The low-end quotation of organosilicon DMC in the venue fell to 25200 yuan / ton, with a maximum drop of nearly 5000 yuan / ton. However, under the lack of effective support, the silicone DMC market continued to run downward. On the 17th, the average price of domestic silicone DMC fell below the 24000 yuan level, and the average price has fallen to 23900 yuan / ton, a decrease of 22.40% compared with the beginning of the month.

 

After the price of silicone DMC has fallen to a relatively low level, the phased stock of downstream manufacturers has increased, and the atmosphere in the venue has improved. On the 21st, the domestic organosilicon DMC market finally saw a slight recovery. The large factories in Shandong raised the ex factory price of organosilicon DMC to 24500 yuan / ton, and then some other monomer factories also raised the ex factory price of organosilicon DMC to 500 yuan / ton. At present, as of the 22nd, the ex factory price of domestic organosilicon DMC is 24000-25000 yuan / ton, and the average price is 24300 yuan / ton, with an overall decline of 21.1% in the month.

 

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In terms of index, it can be seen from the k-column chart of silicone DMC week that since November, the domestic silicone DMC market has continued to decline at a high level. At present, the silicone DMC commodity index on December 21 was 123.40, up 0.2 points from yesterday, down 62.52% from the highest point of 329.21 in the cycle (2021-10-10), and up 75.28% from the lowest point of 70.40 on July 27, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to the period since September 1, 2011)

 

In terms of upstream metal silicon, in December, the domestic metal silicon 441# market fell sharply. At the beginning of the month, the metal silicon shipment was poor and the market trading atmosphere was light. In the late stage, the metal silicon price showed a slight upward trend, but the downstream still needed some time to digest the price rise. It was difficult for the high price silicon, and the terminal demand of domestic aluminum alloy and silicone plants was weak. In addition, under the influence of the epidemic, Jiangsu and Zhejiang stopped production and started again. However, due to the slowdown of production at the end of the year, the purchase demand for raw materials is low. It is expected that the rise and fall will not be too large in the short term. According to the monitoring data of business society, the reference price of metal silicon was 22090 yuan / ton on December 21, down 21.05% compared with December 1 (27980 yuan / ton).

 

Future trend forecast of silicone DMC Market

 

At present, the market price of silicone DMC is expected to pick up, but the market of downstream silicone products is weak and the support for silicone DMC is limited. The silicone DMC datagrapher of business society believes that in the short term, the silicone DMC market will be adjusted and operated in a narrow range, and more attention needs to be paid to the news changes of supply and demand.

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