Overview of 441 # Silicon Price Trends
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The current market situation of metal silicon this week is divided. The spot market continued to rise this week, with prices reaching 200 yuan/ton month on month. In the early stage, due to the rise of major factories in the northwest region, there were many orders in the northwest region, and silicon factories were actively quoting. The futures market experienced weak volatility this week, with SI2310 rising and falling by -0.84% throughout the week, closing at 13530 yuan/ton.
The prices of 441 # silicon in various regions on the 21st are as follows:
The price range of # 441 metal silicon in the Huangpu Port area is 14000-14200 yuan/ton, with an average price of 14100 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 metal silicon in Tianjin Port area is 13900-14100 yuan/ton, with an average of 14000 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 metal silicon in Kunming region is 14100-14300 yuan/ton, with an average price of 14200 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 metallic silicon in Sichuan region is 13800-13900 yuan/ton, with an average price of 13850 yuan/ton; The price range of Shanghai # 441 metal silicon is 14400-14600 yuan/ton, with an average price of 14500 yuan/ton.
Factors Influencing the Price of Silicon Metal
On the supply side:
As of August 18th, the number of silicon metal furnaces in China has reached 350, with an overall furnace opening rate of 48.75%, an increase of 5 units compared to the previous month. After the recent Universiade, production in Sichuan has gradually resumed, while overall production in Yunnan has remained stable, while the number of furnaces in Xinjiang has maintained an increase.
In terms of demand:
This week, the domestic polycrystalline silicon market continued to rebound and gradually stabilized, with the mainstream range of single crystal dense materials of grade 1 solar energy maintained at 67000 to 80000 yuan/ton. Multiple polysilicon companies have released new production capacity, supporting the demand for metallic silicon.
This week, the organic silicon DMC market saw a slight increase, with a market price reference of 13460 yuan/ton. I have heard that some devices in the organic silicon field are expected to restart, and there may be an increase in on-site supply. It is expected that the price of organic silicon will remain stable in the short term.
The aluminum alloy market is operating steadily, with the price of aluminum alloy ADC12 being 18900 yuan/ton. There has been no significant change in the operation of aluminum alloy factories, and the demand for metallic silicon continues to be weak.
Future Market Forecast
Overall, there has been an increase in short-term supply, while organic silicon and aluminum alloys on the demand side remain on the sidelines. There is expected to be an increase in the production capacity of polycrystalline silicon in the future, and it is expected that the price of metal silicon will be relatively strong in the short term.
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